By Jerry Gordon, Iconoclast
This Iran nuclearÂ attack scenario by US and Israeli Gens.Â Â James Cartwright and Amos Yadlin is up onÂ The AtlanticÂ website,Â Israeli or U.S. Action Against Iran: Who Will Do It If It Must Be Done?Â .
It looks pretty much like the InstituteÂ for National Security StudiesÂ (INSS) scenario played out last year at Tel Aviv U, the results of whichÂ indicated that Israel could survive a three day assault on Iran’s nuclear program, despite retaliation from Iran and Proxy Hezbollah that might set back the nuclear clock by three years. See our December 2012 NER articleÂ for a discussion about the INSS,Â here.Â
The bottom line. Israel is the only one who can undertake this.Â As to whether a conventional strike is the way to go is another matter.Â I have made my assessment innumerable times over the last several years.Â Israel has enough non-conventional and conventional options to undertake this mission without US involvement. The Obama Administration is unwilling to undertake one because it might upset the Muslim ummah. Better to have the blame left at the dorrstep of those pesky unloved Jews beavering away in the Zahal pits in Tel Aviv.Â Israel has only ‘en brera’, one option, and they are letting anyone in on what is planned. Â Saeed Jalili, the ‘leading candidate’ in theÂ June 14th Presidential elections in Iran is the hard line conservative nuclear program negotiator who has fobbed off the P5+1 negotiators. He has let it beÂ knownÂ that the upcoming election will not deter Iran from obtaining its nuclear capability. As we have written, the nuclear clock is racing ahead.